|
July
2007 - My reasoned Opinion BASED ON FACTS AND LOCAL NEWS.
The forecast is that 3.000 estate agencies will close down this year on the
Costa Del Sol. For some time now, property sales (and renting) has been in
the doldrums. Why? Reasons include:
Update July 2007.
The local Press advises that three out of four estate agencies will probably
be closing down within the next 12 months. The reasons ARE:
-
Too much property on sale. Building homes has never been a a job
that can be planned and completed in a year so plans made two years ago are in
some cases still being completed as bricks and mortar. The result is that
the old sales pitch that you can buy and rent out to cover your costs/mortgages
no longer applies in most cases as there is now a glut of empty properties.
-
The publicity surrounding the corruption and fraud by local authorities has
caused many potential buyers to be very cautious. Many local Spanish
officials are serving jail time or awaiting trials. Thousands of houses
previously approved are subject to possible destruction as they have been built
on the wrong type of land or in the wrong areas.
-
The "land grab" scandal has hurt Spain very hard as many who have legally
bought homes have either lost them or lost a lot of money due to the
controversial and badly written law where existing owners can have their
property seized, not only with no compensation being paid, but also be expected
to pay sometimes many tens or hundreds of thousands of Euros to finance new
local infrastructure. The action has affected thousands of expats
and is now subject to a Court case before the European Court of Justice.
Many retired people have lost their life savings.
-
Many people especially in the UK are in serious debt limiting funds for not
only a holiday home investment, but also holidays abroad. The recent UK
interest rate rises with more expected has not helped.
-
The EU is planning "carbon taxes" with supplements being paid on air and sea
travel. This will also cause potential buyers to think again.
Since the introduction of the Euro, prices of just about everything have
rocketed. The once inexpensive costas are now not so cheap, especially for
the retirees on limited incomes.
It is said that property finds its own price levels, but with the enormous
numbers of estate agents that have spring up along the coasts (many off-shoots
of UK estate agents who are investing their profits here to avoid taxes in the
UK, nothing illegal about that), all promoting the many
dwellings at ever increasing costs, many would-be buyers especially for investment
purposes, are going elsewhere such as the new eastern European EU States where
property prices are at the same levels as Spain's were in the early 1990s - very
low.
Even an hour or so drive away from the coast, many small pueblos (villages) seem
to have their own little estate agent's shop, often with a foreigner who has
settled in the place, offering properties at prices 4 to 5 times what they were
worth 10 years ago. Many need extensive work to make them acceptable to
the more sophisticated buyers from northern Europe, or from the age of them,
cost very little to build originally as they can be very old. They are
often in the middle of the villages and need a lot of money to make them
suitable for those used to modern buildings.
In many coastal areas, local government corruption has resulted in controversy
over homes where developers (some of whom were the local mayors, etc) that were
given building licences that are now in doubt as the land has been discovered to
be declared as rural or in a national nature park, etc and therefore the building
of a new home was
not allowed by Law. In Marbella on the Costa Del Sol, where most of the
old council members are either on bail or in jail for corruption, there are
reported to be about 2.000
homes where the owners are awaiting legal decisions on whether they are to be
flattened so the land can be returned to its natural state. Many will
probably be legalised but what stress waiting for the decision! In Valencia,
hundreds of new home owners are awaiting possible restitution due to the wrong
application by Spanish developers and local authorities that have resulted in
these owners having their properties partially confiscated with sometimes bills
for hundreds of thousands of Euros for development by money grabbing developers
whom are "distorting" a badly written and unjust Law.
In the UK, where house prices are still going through the roof due to terrible
shortages and a buy to let culture by people who have lost their trust in the
shares market, especially younger people have saddled themselves with debts to
buy their first home, and spare cash for investment in Spain is just not available
unless a permanent move is planned.
Many others have been "living the consumer dream" and have saddled themselves
with debts that, when the inevitable interest rate rises occur to control
inflation, will cause literally hundreds of thousands to be declared bankrupt.
Also we read of sub-prime or special discounts for two years on the mortgage
repayments are due to end for many, and this will cause extreme hardship with
many losing their homes and money.
On the Costas, many homes on average are officially declared now as taking as long as 2 to 2-1/2
years to sell. Many new developments are standing empty or only partially
occupied and will remain so until either prices drop to reasonable and
affordable levels or the financial crisis that is approaching ends.
November 2006
Property sales have slowed
down in Spain to the extent that the official figures are that it takes an
average of 30 months (that is 2-1/2 years) to sell a
property now unless it is a special property that will sell relatively quickly
to a specific buyer type. The days of buyers "purchasing" a property off-plan and
selling it some 12 to 18 months later at as much as a 30% profit are over.
There are obvious reasons why this occurred.
Developers needed cash to
build and were pleased to accept payments before the first concrete was laid,
even where the buyer never had the intention of taking transfer on completion.
Buyers were sold, quite
rightly at the time based on history, on making an excellent profit, especially after the stock-market
crashes proved that investment in shares is often fraught with danger.
Many have bought with the idea of renting to help pay any mortgage but there are
literally thousands of properties form apartments to large villas for rent and
most are standing empty now. Those that have sold are often bought at as
much as 25 to 30% below the asking price.
Another problem is the debt
mountain is getting bigger in the UK where an increase in the prime rate of
borrowing will see thousands in financial trouble where they have bought
over-priced homes in a seller's market, plus they may have credit payments to
make.
The unfortunate but obvious
side effect is that people who have bought, in the short to medium term, paid
more than the properties are now worth. For the the long term, we will have to
wait and see, but most of the young are now unable to get onto the property
ladder to the extent that the Junta de Andalucia is proposing the building of
what used to be called in the UK, council housing", except it will be offered
for sale to the young Spanish couples. The fact that the combination of
the building-boom being effectively over with the thousands of empty properties
standing, although many are owned as second homes, means that it is a buyer's
market, and many owners are in a cash flow situation where they have to sell,
especially if the interest rates rise.
So if you are looking, do not
pay what is being asked. Remember that some properties are being sold for as much as 20
to 30 % less than the asking prices, and the method is to find out the history
of the property, what was it bought for and when, especially the newer
properties, and base your offer on the results. New
properties near where we live had an asking price of €550.000, and some are
selling for €375.000, complete with furniture and even being within 100 metres from the beach in a quiet area, with central heating and air-conditioning, full security with TV on the
entrance gates, underground garages and store-rooms for 1 to 3 cars, sea views, and an up-market location, etc.
In Torrequebrada, near
Benalmadena, residents are having street demonstrations about the masses of
"boxes" being built by developers. The area is becoming one massive "Lego-land".
There is a good reason why
many estate agencies are going out of business every week.
INLAND and
Rentals.
Even inland, the foreign
developers and estate-agents have caused an inflation of prices for homes, many of which
would previously only be considered by an active retiring builder because
of the run-down condition.
It is not uncommon to find a small foreign-owned estate agent's office, with a shop
front in pueblos (villages)
some 1 to 2 hours from the coast, where previously any property would have been
sold through a "network" starting in the local Bar.
The buy-to-let has hit
problems as there are now many empty properties on the market for rent. Before, owners wanted to
rent "long-let" from October to June, and then let them by the week for the
summer where they could charge as much per week as they could per month out of
season. The local papers show that this has changed and not only are
there many times more properties to rent, owners are quite happy to rent them by
the year. Previously there would be only 1/2 page in the
SURinENglish news paper for long term: now there are over 8 pages.
To
encourage owners to rent out homes for especially Spanish families who are
finding it very difficult to get onto the first "owned home" ladder and
consequently are having to rent at inflated prices, the Junta de Andalucia is
offering up to €6.000 to pay for damage if caused to long term rented
properties, to encourage owners to lower their rents to affordable levels.
The availability of good houses in the new EU countries bordering the warm
Mediterranean waters such as Croatia and Bulgaria, etc. with prices that were common in Spain
10 to 15 years ago has
also affected Spanish prices for those looking for a bargain.
In Marbella area, many homes,
and we are talking in the hundreds, are under threat of being demolished because
the previous Marbella council, led by the late and disgraced mayor (Jesus Gil), approved
illegally the construction by granting licences in contravention of the
officially approved planning Laws. At present there are 22
ex-councillors and officials in jail or awaiting trial for corruption, and
Marbella town council is literally bankrupt. Even the new home near ours for
Antonio Banderas and Melanie Griffith is declared illegal. And other
towns and pueblos across the costas are reporting corruption by local officials.
The
current mayor is in jail along with 20 other council officials, awaiting trial
for theft and corruption on an enormous scale, the female mayor even being
reported charged for having liposuction paid for by the taxpayers, and previous
mayors and officials are already in jail.
In Spain, as in many countries, "TRUST NO
ONE!"
There is more
information, with especially the Costa Blanca in mind at
www.livespainforlife.co.uk
The following gives descriptions
of what is commonly available.
PLOTS
OF LAND.
-
Not
many single
plots of land for villas/town houses from Benalmádena to Manilva left
now. The government is getting worried that too much farmland is being
illegally built on and not used for farming and has issued strict
instructions that the Law will be upheld in that agricultural land must be
used for that and not new homes, other than a "shack" for a worker to spend
the night in. In Cartama near Malaga Airport, 200 new houses, all
approved illegally by the local authorities, are scheduled to be demolished.
-
In especially Marbella, it has been reported
this year that 2 000 properties under construction have been stopped due to
the previous Mayor having been involved (he was convicted in a Court of law)
in corruption and issuing permits which were not allowed by the overall
planning authority.
-
Rustic
plots (land in the countryside, needing development and therefore cheaper)
for fincas (smaller but nice houses), and haciendas, (larger luxury
houses). Check planning permission is available (use your own
lawyer in Spain) before buying as just about all of them are not allowed to have larger houses
on them. The dwellings are designed for a couple of workers to save
them travelling home each night, as in the old days of donkey travel.
-
Large
plots for hotels (often with subsidies from the
government) for rural
tourism.
-
Plots
for urbanisations (building developments for small/large townships,
including residential and shops/businesses).
-
Plots
for golf courses. There is a shortage of these on the Costa del Sol,
but concern for potential water shortages are being mooted now.
At this time, it is stated in the local Press that there may be a problem
this summer (2006). Desalination plants, some built 10 years ago, are
now in use with more planned, but they are expensive to run.
-
Commercial
plots for super-markets, shopping malls, petrol-stations, clinics, etc.
First
line beach plots. Becoming very difficult to find now.
Environmentalists are rightly complaining about the beaches being blocked off by
houses on the Costa del Sol, although private beaches are not allowed in
Spain. All are open to the public by law, as it should be.
BUILDINGS,
COMPLETED OR YET TO BE BUILT.
These include
villas (houses), apartments, townhouses, hotels, and business premises.
-
New
constructions direct from the builders. Buy off plan, sell
before taking transfer 12 to 18 months later with a 20 - 30% profit.
Now a very risky plan.
-
Pre-owned
properties.
-
Businesses,
e. g. petrol stations, hotels, farms, bars and restaurants, cafeterias and
take-aways, etc.
-
Three
to five star HOTELS, some with casinos. There are many on offer
along the coast and some inland. Older hotels need extensive re-modelling
to make them acceptable to the modern tourists.
-
Large
villas converted to guest-houses.
NOTES.
PURCHASE CONSIDERATIONS.
You should always budget an additional 10% of the purchase
price for legal and transfer costs, and taxes.
These may be built into the mortgage/bond.
If you wish to check the current rates of exchange, please click on the following
link while on the internet. This will take you to the Xenon Laboratories Currency Converter, giving
current exchange rates (updated every 10 minutes) as a guide to costs in your (or any)
currency.
The Universal Currency Converter
Service (Click)
There are basically five categories of residences, which
are:-
1.
apartments.
These can be in a small or large block (often with a
lift, essential in the hot weather) with sea
and/or mountain views. One to three
(or more bedrooms) and often a communal pool
and garden area is included, these being serviced by the caretakers, who are
paid by a levy on all apartments.
A lock up or underground communal garage is sometimes available, or a reserved
and secure parking space. Many new properties on the coast are built as potential holiday homes and
as an
investment for renting out when not used by owner, and they are easy
to resell if bought in the right area.
There are many on offer for sale, and I predict that some
will be at bargain prices where the owner is in danger of re-possession.
2.
Townhouses
–
Can be in a terraced block, and often include a communal pool and garden,
but can have a small garden area inside the property. Often include a lockup garage, sometimes for as many as three
small cars, or one plus work area/store-room.
3.
Villas –
detached or semi-detached houses, from one bedroom to many.
Often has a garden area around 75% of the property area,
remembering that many houses on the coast are two or three storeys high, especially if built
on a hill side, designed to give magnificent views and save land space.
4.
Fincas
(country estates). These are
situated in a country area, often some 10 to 30 minutes or more from the coast, and
again can be small to very large. Usually
has land area which is planted with existing orchards, fruit, vegetables, etc.,
(which can be rented out to local farmers) and the land can allow for future expansion of the living
space but check with a local lawyer before buying.
Many sell cheaply as they have a basic old dwelling on them, and permission to
build a new home can be obtained, but beware and get expert advice as many have
been sold where the buyer has been misled in this matter. We advise on supply of water,
electricity, road access and telephones. Can be 1,000 m2
to 20,000 m2 plus.
5. Farms.
Large hectares/acres of land with a home and
the out-buildings usual on
farms. Some old in need of
“tender loving care”, but cheap to buy: some in excellent condition.
They need to be run as farms to qualify for some subsidies.
6.
HOTELS. From
country guest houses to 5-star. This is a specialist area, and we can
introduce you to owners who wish to sell.
7.
Businesses.
Many get started here by buying an existing business, especially a
bar/restaurant, although a high proportion of these do not last more than six
months mainly due to the inexperience of the new owners.
ESPECIALLY
FOR SOUTHERN AFRICANS.
CONSIDER. If you were to buy a house at
an interest rate of about 14%, the monthly repayments are the
same as buying a much more expensive house in Spain at an interest rate of say 5
-6%. This means that the repayments are mostly coming off the capital
value of the home, as opposed to the bank's interest repayments, especially
after the first few years. However you need at this time to take at
least 1,5 million Rands to even consider buying here (to buy
and live for six months to get set up).
Sadly, many South Africans have been left behind in SA since 1995 due to the
deterioration of the Rand against other leading currencies,
especially the € and the £.
HOME
Last
updated 12/08/2007
|
|